How important is the first round of the semi-PO, 10 consecutive years of winning the first round → advancing to the PO... Win the first round = advancing to the PO '85%'
How important is the first round of the semi-PO, 10 consecutive years of winning the first round → advancing to the PO... Win the first round = advancing to the PO '85%'
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The LG Twins and KT Wiz of professional baseball will play the first round of the semi-playoff, which will determine the direction of the series.메이저사이트
LG and KT will play the first round of semi-playoff of the 2024 Shinhan Bank SOL Bank KBO League at Jamsil Stadium in Seoul on Tuesday. LG ranked third with 76 wins, two draws and 66 losses (win rate .535) this season, while KT ranked fifth with 72 wins, two draws and 70 losses (win rate .507).
The semi-playoff will be held in the best-of-five series. Even if the team wins the first round, it will have to win two more to advance to the playoffs, but the first round of the semi-playoff is more important than expected. This is because the winning team has an 85.3 percent chance of advancing to the playoffs. Of the 34 semi-playoff teams that have won the first round so far, 29 have advanced to the playoffs.
The team that won the first round of the semi-playoff has been in the playoffs for the last 10 years in a row. LG (win, lose) in 2014, Doosan (win, lose) in 2015, LG (win, lose) in 2016, NC (win, lose) in 2017, Nexen (win, lose), Kiwoom (win, lose) in 2018, Doosan (win, lose) in 2020, Doosan (win, lose) in 2021, Kiwoom (win, lose) in 2022, and NC (win, win) in 2023 all won the first round and succeeded in advancing to the playoffs.
The last time a team that wins in the first round failed to play in the playoffs was in the semi-playoff season in 2013. Nexen ranked third (72 wins, 2 draws and 54 losses, a .571 winning percentage) and Doosan (71 wins, 3 draws and 54 losses, a .568 winning percentage) competed against each other, which was ranked fourth in the regular season. Nexen won in the first round and advanced to the second round, but Doosan then won three consecutive games to successfully sweep the reverse.
There are more semi-playoffs where there are best-of-three seasons. In the semi-playoffs, which were held in the best-of-three series, 100% (19 times) of the first-round games were successful in advancing to the playoffs. Naturally, if the best-of-five series is limited to the best-of-three series, the winning team of the first-round games will decrease the probability of advancing to the playoffs. However, this does not mean that the first-round games are not important. Looking at the entire series, which was held in the best-of-five series in the semi-playoffs and playoffs, the winning team of the first-round games still has a high probability of winning the series at 72.0 percent. The winning team of the first round of the 50-time series advanced to the next series with 36 wins.
In the important first game, LG announced Detrick N.S. as its starting pitcher. In this season's 30 games (167 ⅔ innings), N.S. posted 13 wins, six losses and a 4.19 winning percentage. Against KT, he struggled with two wins and an earned run average of 5.25 in two games (12 innings). In his last regular season game on June 22, he had eight hits (one homer), three strikeouts and five runs (four earned) in six innings against Doosan.
Ko Young-pyo is the starting pitcher for KT. Ko has recorded six wins and eight losses and an earned run average of 4.95 in 18 games (100 innings) this season. In one game against LG, he pitched four ⅔ innings, nine hits, one walk, seven strikeouts, and five runs scored. However, he became the winning pitcher by pitching five innings of one hit, four strikeouts, and one run in the final game of the season against Kiwoom on April 28. He also pitched as relief pitcher in the fifth place game on the 1st, and pitched one hit (one homer) and one run in one ⅔. He pitched as relief pitcher in the second game of the wild card game against Doosan on the 3rd, and secured one strikeout and no run in one inning.
KT, which has penetrated both the fifth-place match and the wild-card match, has gained momentum by making an upset in the wild-card match for the first time in its history. In the first game, Ko Young-pyo, who has been on the mound for relief, is unlikely to be able to play a long inning, but there is a possibility that he will deploy a large number of bullpen pitchers and engage in an all-out war depending on the situation in the game. LG is also in a situation where starting pitchers such as Elijah Hernandez can be deployed to the bullpen after the match.